Project: The futures of reef services in the Anthropocene

Acronym REEF-FUTURES (Reference Number: 84)
Duration 01/12/2018 - 31/03/2022
Project Topic On coastal reefs (0-50 m depth), perhaps more than anywhere in the world, natural and human systems share a history of strong dependence that must be taken into account to maintain, on one side, the long-term human development and well-being, and, on the other side, biodiversity. This biodiversity translates directly into services. Reef fishes support the nutritional and economic needs of people in many poor countries while hosting the major part of marine life on Earth (25%). However world's reefs are severely over-fished or have degraded habitats. Avoiding or escaping this negative spiral and identifying the most vulnerable reef social-ecological systems on Earth are among the major issues that scientists and managers are facing today. The project aims to move beyond the typical over-simplified ‘human impacts’ storyline and focus on uncovering new solutions based on a prospective and integrated modelling approach of reef social-ecological systems at the global scale with three objectives: 1.Quantifying five key services provided by reef fishes: (i) biomass production providing livelihoods, (ii) nutrient cycling that affects productivity, (iii) regulation of the carbon cycle that affects CO2 concentration, (iv) cultural value that sustains well-being tourism activities and (v) nutritional value insuring food security. 2.Determine the conditions (socioeconomic and environmental) under which these ecosystem services are currently maintained or threatened. Based on a global database of fish surveys over more than 5,000 reefs that encompass wide gradients of environments, human influences (fishing impact), and habitats, we will estimate the boundaries or thresholds beyond which these ecosystem services may collapse. 3.Predict the potential futures of these services and social-ecological systems under various global change scenarios. Using multiple integrated scenarios (human demography, economic development and climate change) and predictive models we will simulate the dynamics of shallow reef ecosystems and their ability to deliver services during the next century.
Website visit project website
Network BiodivScen
Call Scenarios of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services

Project partner

Number Name Role Country
1 University of Montpellier Coordinator France
2 Arizona State University Partner United States
3 Dalhousie University Partner Canada
4 Ecole Pratique des Hautes Etudes Partner France
5 ETH Zurich Partner Switzerland
6 University of Tasmania Partner Australia
7 Wildlife Conservation Society Partner United States
8 Institut de Recherche pour le Développement Partner France
9 Leibniz Centre for Tropical Marine Research Partner Germany
10 UN Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre Partner United Kingdom
11 Stockholm University Partner Sweden
12 The University of British Columbia Partner Canada
13 Uni Research, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research Partner Norway
14 University of Hawaii Partner United States
15 Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Partner Netherlands
16 James Cook University Partner Australia
17 Lancaster University Partner United Kingdom
18 University of California, Santa Barbara Partner United States