Project: BioDiv-Support: Scenario-based decision support for policy planning and adaptation to future changes in biodiversity and ecosystem services

Acronym BioDiv-support (Reference Number: 174)
Duration 01/12/2018 - 31/03/2022
Project Topic Biodiversity is affected by a multitude of anthropogenic and natural drivers. This research project aims at using cutting-edge scientific tools to study changes in terrestrial vegetation and ecosystem services until the 2050s following different future scenarios based on these drivers, to provide information for designing biodiversity management plans. The project evolves around three case studies focusing on mountain regions in Scandinavia, France, Andorra and Spain where the impacts of climate change are expected to be particularly high. In all these regions we apply a chain of models from high-resolution climate models via air quality models to ecosystem models, to study effects on vegetation and ecosystem services. We aim for unprecedented spatial resolution over mountains. This enables detailed studies of the effects on vegetation composition following different scenarios of climate change, emission of air pollutants and land use management of the areas under consideration. Furthermore, we will use the results from the vegetation and biogeochemistry models to improve the climate and air pollution simulations by incorporating the calculated changes in vegetation type, change in incidence of forest fires and change in emissions of biogenic air quality precursors. The uncertainties in the model chain for the present and future periods will be assessed by comparing the model outputs with existing monitoring data in the three study regions and ensemble approaches, respectively. The work is organized in 4 work packages (WPs), with overall project coordination in WP1. The scenarios in drivers affecting biodiversity are defined in WP1, and produced in WP2, and used in WP3 to quantify effects on vegetation and ecosystem services by applying a Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. WP4 will collate the results in a planning tool designed via consultations with policy-makers and planners/users. Regular interactions with an advisory board in WP1 will ensure that the scenarios and tools for planning are relevant and applicable to stakeholders/users.
Website visit project website
Network BiodivScen
Call Scenarios of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services

Project partner

Number Name Role Country
1 Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute Coordinator Sweden
2 Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas, Medioambientales y Tecnológicas Partner Spain
3 Finnish Meteorological Institute Partner Finland
4 Institut national de l’environnement industriel et des risques Partner France
5 Lund University Partner Sweden
6 Senckenberg Gesellschaft für Naturforschung Partner Germany
7 Stockholm University Partner Sweden
8 University of Gothenburg Partner Sweden